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Archive for the ‘Debt’ Category

Coming to Grip With a Nation Built on Lies

Written by Tracey

September 25, 2008 05:09 AM

Did anyone else see Suze Orman on the Oprah Winfrey Show this week?

Suze was PISSED!

She was going off on one couple on the show that has $90,000 on their 29 credit cards and no way to pay their mortgage.

Basically- her view was that that couple, plus most of America, has been living a lie.

A Nation Built on Lies

This has been going on at least a decade- but probably more. I trace it back to the early 1990s when Americans, who used to save about 8% of their salaries in 1990, started a downward slide into debt and endless use of plastic.

The bull stock market of the 1990s “saved” many people from the abyss (as long as they cashed in some gains before that crashed in 2000.)

Then, it was housing to the rescue. People gave no thought to taking out a home equity loan for $50,000, $100,000, or even $200,000. It was like winning the lotto.

Remember the radio ads from the banks? They said things like, “let your house work for you.”

Except houses don’t “work”- humans do. And it was debt that had to be paid back.

That was Suze’s point this week. Americans are overextended and most are living a lie. They can’t really afford those houses they bought in the last 5 years.

They lease their cars because they trade them in every 2 years.

Clothes, purses, sunglasses and other status symbols are bought on credit cards and, in some cases, won’t be paid for for 10 to 20 years.

None of it was real. It was bought with play money.

And now we’re going to pay the price for the illusion of wealth. We’re going to have to make some cash and save some cash instead.

Welcome to the new reality!

The Bailout Isn’t Just About Wall Street

Look in the mirror. What have you bought on credit?

The $700 billion is a way of paying for the excesses that all of us entered into. This wasn’t just a Wall Street problem.

Look up and down your block. How many people on that block have savings to retire? How many have significant equity in their homes? How many can pay for their kids’ college education?

A few can. But most can’t.

Debt isn’t freedom. It’s the opposite.

This credit crunch will not end until the excesses are purged from the system. As Suze Orman said- we have to face the truth. We can’t afford these things in our lives. We must turn to a different way of living.

And America will do so. It always has in a crisis. A strong economy will result, in the end, but not without some serious pain first.

We must all look in the mirror.

Consumers Will Turn to Their Only Easy Money: Credit Cards

Written by Tracey

November 13, 2007 06:30 AM

I got a phone call today at home from Chase. I have a Visa card with them. They call every once in a while to see if I want some Life Insurance or whatever else it is that they’re selling these days.

The sales woman began with: “Congratulations. You’ve been selected to receive a Chase Mastercard.”

Before I could respond she said, “…at the very low introductory rate of 0% interest rate.”

It was then that I cut her off and said, “I don’t want another credit card.”

She said, “What? How could you not want free money? Don’t you know what a great deal this is?”

The 0% rate would be a great deal for a customer who carried a balance (at least for the introductory period where they could roll over their other credit card balances into this new card with the lower rate.) But since I carry no balance, the 0% rate was meaningless to me.

The Chase saleswoman couldn’t understand that.

I said again, “I don’t want another credit card!”

But how many others took her up on the deal? Plenty, I’m sure.

Hm…maybe I should have invested in MasterCard stock after all?

And what about the upcoming Visa IPO?

The thing is- Visa and MasterCard just run the transactions. They don’t hold any of the underlying debt itself (like, say, Capital One- which is having to set aside extra reserves to cover their growing defaults.)

Visa and MasterCard are brilliant businesses. Now that the Housing ATM is coming to an end and Americans can no longer borrow off their homes, instead of lowering their standard of living or paying cash, they’ll simply charge even more. And MasterCard and Visa will get richer.

Another case in point: I returned an item to a Tuesday Morning over the weekend. I had paid for it in cash. So as the cashier was doing the transaction for the return on the register, a line formed. As she was paying the cash back to me another customer waiting in line remarked, “she paid cash? Who pays in cash for anything anymore? I charge everything.”

So he does.

The party must continue, housing bust be d*mned. The kids will have their iPhones for Christmas. Plastic will reign supreme.

MasterCard stock here I come.

This Week on Oprah: Unmasking the Illusion of American Wealth

Written by Tracey

October 19, 2007 06:00 AM

Did you see the Oprah show this week where the family who lived in California whose take-home income was about $6,000 a month was spending $15,000 a month?

The audience was all agog. Oprah had on Suze Orman to “help” the couple.

But can they really be helped? Here’s their spending habits:

Current mortgage: $1800 (It’s a negative amoritization loan that is about to “correct.” The payments will be $3500.)

Starbucks “runs” every month: $300-$400

Manicures/tanning for the mother: $50 a week

Shopping at the mall: Several hundred a week

Cars: 3 cars (even though the kids are all under age 16.)

Suze Orman calculated that they really have about $135,000 in credit card debt. They can’t afford health insurance for their family and haven’t taken their kids to the dentist in years.

Yet they’re living in an over $600,000 home in Southern California.

The California Dream, baby!

Except, it’s all an illusion.

Suze tried to give them tough love. They’re already 2 weeks behind on the mortgage. She told them to put the house on the market now and move out of California to a “cheaper” state where there is no income tax (such as Washington State.) Suze also told the wife, who is a stay at home mother with 5 or 6 kids, to go to work at Starbucks part-time so she can get their health insurance.

Somehow, watching the wife on the show with her fake tan and hair extensions, I didn’t think she would be able to EVER work at a place like Starbucks. But desperate people sometimes surprise.

The reality is: this family will go into foreclosure on their house. And then they’ll have to declare bankruptcy.

When you look around your neighborhood and wonder “how are all these people affording these cars and houses?” you can bet: they’re not.

The sad thing is, the money is going towards manicures, $900 shoes, $600 a month car payments. Nothing is saved. There is no pride in having investments. They are buying “things.” Things with no value.

Do you wonder why some people never get ahead? Too many “things.” Not enough stocks.

But after hearing about how the one mother was spending $400 a month at Starbucks, I thought, “hm…I should be buying more of that stock.”

Can’t Borrow Off the House? Plastic Returns as the Bank

Written by Tracey

October 11, 2007 06:20 AM

For awhile, Americans seemed to be getting ahead of their debt by taking out a HELOC and paying off the credit cards, some of which carry interest rates as high as 26%. It seemed like a smart strategy because HELOCs had interest rates much lower.

Problem is, many Americans went right on spending, running up balances on credit cards once again. Only now, they can no longer borrow off the house to pay it off. Will Americans reduce spending in order to keep their credit card balances down?

Not likely. From the Baltimore Sun:

As growth in home equity balances has fallen almost to zero, credit-card balances have increased at a 17 percent annual rate over the past six months, according to a report by Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg. And the trend, he writes, “is clearly accelerating.” A year ago card balances were shrinking.

The data is not encouraging. Americans have kept on spending even as the credit machine for home loans and refinancings has shut down. From Reuters:

Federal Reserve data released on Friday showed U.S. consumer borrowing rising by $12.18 billion in August, more than 20 percent more than economists had forecast.

Most striking was an 8.1 percent increase in borrowing on revolving credit lines, mostly credit cards, to a record $909 billion.

Credit card borrowings rose at the sharpest rate since early 2002.

We’re at records on credit cards now. What is the incentive to stop spending if the banks will keep lending? And so far, they are (on credit cards, that is.) Everyone knows how easy it is to get new credit cards, even for people who have recently declared bankruptcy.

We are a monthly payment nation- addicted to easy credit and thinking only about how much the item will cost us per month. Want the vacation? Charge it and pay it off over the next five years. There is nothing that is denied us anymore. No one says “no.”

We are supposed to be better off than our parents generation. Nearly every American has a television. Most have refrigerators and stoves. Most have phones. This is progress.

So far, Americans seem to be handling the debt load. From Reuters:

Delinquencies are still low, though the most recent data covers only the second quarter. Late payments on bank cards fell in the second quarter to 4.39 percent from 4.41 percent, according to the American Bankers Association.

Eventually, the growing debt load will bite. How did we get in this deep?